Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chayka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Druzhba are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60