Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Chayka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20