Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Chayka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Altay are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60