Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penafiel · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Penafiel
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Penafiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChavesLLWWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PenafielDWWWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ChavesPenafiel
27.8Attack72.2
27.8Defence72.2
22.2Form72.2
29.4Power72.0
0.68xG2.33