Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Chaves

Chaves

Home
W
23
Full time
Guimaraes B

Guimaraes B

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Guimaraes B33%
Chaves33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Chaves
33%
Draw
33%
Guimaraes B
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chaves
99
Guimaraes B
34
Defence
Chaves
66
Guimaraes B
6
Momentum
Chaves
100
Guimaraes B
0
Danger (xG)
Chaves
3.60
Guimaraes B
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Chaves)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Guimaraes B)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Chaves)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Guimaraes B)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ChavesChaves
WW
Guimaraes BGuimaraes B
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Chaves33%
Draw33%
Guimaraes B33%

Guimaraes B leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chaves head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Guimaraes B arrive in mixed form (L). Chaves have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Guimaraes B over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Chaves's elite attack (99/100) faces a vulnerable Guimaraes B defence (6/100), while Guimaraes B's attack is up against a solid Chaves backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Chaves's favour.

Chaves have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Guimaraes B have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Chaves and Guimaraes B in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Chaves 3333%, Draw 3333%, Guimaraes B 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Chaves

Chaves

W
vs Fafe
15 Jul 2026
41
W
@ Maritimo
15 May 2026
31
Guimaraes B

Guimaraes B

L
vs Amarante
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chaves vs Guimaraes B?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chaves vs Guimaraes B?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Chaves vs Guimaraes B?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chaves vs Guimaraes B?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more