Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chaves 1-4 Academica
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
15.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChavesLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AcademicaDDWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChavesAcademica
39.2Attack100.0
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
53.4Power88.7
1.00xG0.99