Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · 9/14/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chaves II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Chaves II are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Machico are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaves II hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A, while Chaves II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chaves II
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Chaves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.33
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80