GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chattanooga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Orlando City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

8.6%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City IIDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ChattanoogaOrlando City II
62.1Attack63.6
54.5Defence37.9
59.1Form47.0
59.2Power51.1
2.61xG1.58
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