Chattanoogavs
New York City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga 3-1 New York City II
Original prediction
Chattanooga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 01:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.5% | 56.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 19.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.0% | 24.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80