Chattanoogavs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga 3-1 Connecticut FC
Original prediction
Chattanooga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.0% | 47.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 23.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.2% | 28.7% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20