Chattanoogavs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Chattanooga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
8.8%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00