GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chattanooga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Carolina Core are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

9.8%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaDWWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Carolina CoreWDLWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ChattanoogaCarolina Core
62.1Attack46.4
54.5Defence42.0
59.1Form33.3
59.2Power42.0
2.50xG1.12
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