GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Chattanooga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Carolina Core are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

9.8%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Carolina CoreWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ChattanoogaCarolina Core
62.1Attack46.4
54.5Defence42.0
59.1Form33.3
59.2Power42.0
2.50xG1.12
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