Chattanoogavs
Atlanta United II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga 4-1 Atlanta United II
Original prediction
Chattanooga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.0% | 41.1% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 24.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.8% | 34.4% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20