GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesSarasota Paradise
59.3Attack31.6
53.7Defence47.4
57.4Form31.6
57.4Power39.4
2.13xG0.76
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