GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/11/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the USL League One Cup, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Richmond KickersDDLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesRichmond Kickers
16.7Attack25.0
58.3Defence25.0
16.7Form25.0
33.8Power28.9
1.53xG1.00
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