GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/27/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the USL League One Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesDWLLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
One KnoxvilleLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesOne Knoxville
16.7Attack25.0
58.3Defence66.7
16.7Form25.0
33.8Power42.1
1.07xG1.03
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