GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while One Knoxville are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesLD

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
One KnoxvilleWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Chattanooga Red WolvesOne Knoxville
59.3Attack57.9
53.7Defence63.2
57.4Form63.2
57.4Power62.6
1.39xG1.50
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