GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naples are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaplesLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesNaples
59.3Attack36.8
53.7Defence45.6
57.4Form35.1
57.4Power41.5
2.19xG0.89
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