Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 Greenville Triumph
Original prediction
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 41.9% | 57.5% | 15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.4% | 20.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.8% | 21.6% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00