Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Forward Madison
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.7% | 31.5% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 25.9% | 22.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.4% | 45.6% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80