GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fort WayneLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Chattanooga Red WolvesFort Wayne
59.6Attack43.3
54.4Defence60.0
59.6Form45.0
58.6Power50.3
1.58xG1.06
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