Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Corpus Christi
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 Corpus Christi
Original prediction
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.4% | 44.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 28.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 27.5% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40