Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Boise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 Boise
Original prediction
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.7% | 45.9% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 22.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.5% | 31.7% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20