GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the USL League One Cup, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Birmingham Legion

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionDWDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham Legion
16.7Attack58.3
58.3Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
33.8Power69.5
0.92xG1.48
View match centre →