Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 5/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chattanooga Red Wolves are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham Legion hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the USL League One Cup, while Birmingham Legion holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60