Chatham Townvs
Welling United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welling United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chatham Town 3-2 Welling United
Original prediction
Welling United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.2% | 30.3% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 21.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.4% | 47.8% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Welling United
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Welling United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00