Chatham Townvs
Leatherhead
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chatham Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chatham Town 3-0 Leatherhead
Original prediction
Chatham Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.2% | 44.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 23.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chatham Town
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Chatham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00