Chatham Townvs
Brentwood Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chatham Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chatham Town 3-0 Brentwood Town
Original prediction
Chatham Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 50.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 22.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.3% | 27.1% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Chatham Town
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Chatham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60