GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bognor Regis Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chatham Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bognor Regis Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bognor Regis Town hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Bognor Regis Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bognor Regis Town

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Bognor Regis Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chatham TownWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bognor Regis TownWDLDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chatham TownBognor Regis Town
66.7Attack61.9
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form49.2
51.0Power54.5
1.73xG1.85
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