Chateaurouxvs
Niort
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niort · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chateauroux are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Niort are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Niort hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Ligue 3, while Niort holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niort
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Niort has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00