GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RED Star FC 93 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chasselay MDA are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while RED Star FC 93 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and RED Star FC 93 hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Ligue 3, while RED Star FC 93 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RED Star FC 93

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

RED Star FC 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chasselay MDALDLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RED Star FC 93WLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Chasselay MDARED Star FC 93
42.2Attack53.9
53.9Defence66.7
37.3Form63.7
45.9Power62.9
0.85xG1.43
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