Charltonvs
Sutton Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Charlton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sutton Utd are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60