GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlton are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlton

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

61.4%

Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharltonDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leyton OrientWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CharltonLeyton Orient
91.7Attack44.4
41.7Defence33.3
58.3Form11.1
63.5Power32.9
2.78xG1.42
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