Charltonvs
Chelsea U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Charlton are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chelsea U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 44.8-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 18.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40