Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Charlton are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bromley are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80