Charltonvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Charlton are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlton hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (63.5 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Charlton holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlton
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Charlton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00