Charlton Athletic Wvs
Manchester United W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic W 1-3 Manchester United W
Original prediction
Manchester United W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.30 | 9.8% | 25.0% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.21 | 17.6% | 23.0% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 72.5% | 52.0% | -20.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United W
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Manchester United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80