Charlton Athletic Wvs
Manchester City W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic W 0-1 Manchester City W
Original prediction
Manchester City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 28.13 | 3.3% | 18.3% | 15.0 pts |
| Draw | 12.70 | 7.4% | 19.3% | 11.9 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 89.3% | 62.4% | -26.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City W
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Manchester City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40