Charlton Athletic Wvs
London City Lionesses W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic W 1-4 London City Lionesses W
Original prediction
London City Lionesses W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.75 | 6.7% | 24.7% | 18.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.64 | 13.8% | 23.3% | 9.4 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.5% | 52.1% | -27.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
London City Lionesses W
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40