Charlton Athletic Wvs
Liverpool W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic W 0-4 Liverpool W
Original prediction
Liverpool W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.30 | 21.3% | 29.8% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.2% | 27.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.5% | 42.9% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool W
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Liverpool W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40