Charlton Athletic Wvs
Bristol City W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 10/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic W 2-0 Bristol City W
Original prediction
Bristol City W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.6% | 33.8% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 26.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.5% | 39.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City W
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Bristol City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80