Charlton Athletic U21vs
Wigan Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic U21 2-2 Wigan Athletic U21
Original prediction
Charlton Athletic U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.2% | 45.6% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.4% | 23.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.4% | 30.6% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Charlton Athletic U21
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Charlton Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00