Charlton Athletic U21vs
Sheffield United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic U21 3-1 Sheffield United U21
Original prediction
Charlton Athletic U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.9% | 38.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 24.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 37.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Charlton Athletic U21
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Charlton Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60