Charlton Athletic U21vs
Millwall U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlton Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic U21 1-0 Millwall U21
Original prediction
Charlton Athletic U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.8% | 48.6% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.3% | 25.1% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 24.9% | 26.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Charlton Athletic U21
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Charlton Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60