Charlton Athletic U21vs
Leeds United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leeds United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic U21 1-0 Leeds United U21
Original prediction
Leeds United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.5% | 20.2% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 17.5% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.0% | 62.3% | 21.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Leeds United U21
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Leeds United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00