Charlton Athletic U21vs
Cardiff City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/23/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlton Athletic U21 3-4 Cardiff City U21
Original prediction
Cardiff City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.9% | 31.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 24.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.3% | 43.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff City U21
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Cardiff City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40