Charlottevs
Philadelphia Union
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Charlotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
9.9%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80