Charlottevs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Charlotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
9.0%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60