GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Charlotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

9.0%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteDWLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
New York Red BullsDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharlotteNew York Red Bulls
53.7Attack53.7
50.0Defence27.8
46.3Form46.3
50.6Power45.0
2.54xG1.47
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