GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New England Revolution are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New England RevolutionWLWWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CharlotteNew England Revolution
53.7Attack51.9
50.0Defence57.4
46.3Form55.6
50.6Power55.4
1.46xG1.46
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