GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Charlotte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

7.5%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CharlotteInter Miami
53.7Attack80.7
50.0Defence36.8
46.3Form66.7
50.6Power63.1
2.11xG2.32
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